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市场人士预计美国废钢市场不会复苏
发表日期:2022/7/19 15:43:19 兰格钢铁
    

随着8月交易临近,美国市场参与者似乎对价格方向没有明确的概念。

Approaching August trading, market participants in the US seem to have no clear idea about the price direction.

继7月交易低迷之后,优质废钢与碎废钢之间的差价降至数月来的低点。

Following its slump during July trading, the prime grade scrap price has seen the lowest spread between shredded after months.

一位废钢供应商告诉Kallanish(开阑商务信息咨询):“7月价格出人意料地下降。虽然我们确信价格会下降,但优质废钢145-150美元/吨和旧废钢30-35美元/吨的降幅令人意外。虽然现在边角废钢价格具有竞争力,但由于板材销售疲软,需求并未走强。”

A scrap supplier tells Kallanish: “Prices have decreased in an unexpected way in July. Although we were certain that prices would fall, $145-150/tonne in prime grades and $30-35/t in obsolete grades were surprising. Although the bushelling scrap price has become competitive now, its demand is yet to strengthen due to the weak sheet sales.”

另一位供应商说:“考虑到边角废钢与碎废钢之间的差价已经达到40-50美元/长吨的最低水平,我们预计边角废钢需求会走强。但是,由于订单量低,板材厂不愿购买废钢。对旧废钢和碎废钢的需求更强。”

“Considering the spread between bushelling and shredded that has reached its lowest at $40-50/gt, we would expect to see stronger bushelling demand. But low order books are preventing sheet mills from buying scrap. Demand for obsolete grades and shredded is stronger,” says another supplier.

一位贸易商说:“考虑到全球市场的疲软情绪,我认为8月交易中,碎废钢和边角废钢价格必将进一步下跌。”他预计,碎废钢与边角废钢之间的差价将进一步收窄。

“Given the weak sentiment in the global market, I think further price declines in August trading in both shredded and bushelling are inevitable,” says a trader who expects the margin between shredded and bushelling to further squeeze.

同时,大多数市场参与者并不期望看到来自土耳其的支撑。

Most market participants do not expect to see support from Turkey, meanwhile.

一位美国贸易商说:“土耳其的需求很可能不会像开斋节假期前那样强劲。上周,在土耳其假期期间,随着中国市场下跌,全球市场情绪已经恶化,由于高价购买废钢,土耳其的钢材价格目前在全球市场上已经没有竞争力。他们应该会先衡量一下钢材销售情况。”

“Most probably, Turkey’s demand will not be as strong as before the Eid holiday. Last week, during Turkey’s holiday, the sentiment has worsened in the global market with the slump in China and Turkey’s steel prices are now no more competitive in the global market due to high-priced scrap purchases. They should initially wish to gauge the situation in steel sales,” says a US trader.

在土耳其,市场人士认为,美国原产的HMS 1&2 80:20废钢价格在开斋节前达到408-410美元/吨cfr,短期内有可能跌破400美元/吨cfr的水平,因为在周一达成的交易中,波罗的海原产的HMS 1&2 80:20废钢价格已经下降到400-402美元/吨cfr。在长假过后的工作日,废钢需求依然疲软,而大多数市场人士预计整个星期都将保持不变。

In Turkey, market participants believe that US-origin HMS 1&2 80:20 price, which reached $408-410/t cfr before the Eid-holiday, is likely to fall below $400/t cfr levels in the short term as Baltic-origin HMS 1&2 80:20 prices have already decreased to $400-402/t cfr on the bookings disclosed in the market on Monday. Scrap demand has remained weak on the business day after a long holiday, while most market players expect it to remain unchanged throughout the week.

在西海岸,由于中国市场下跌,日本报价竞争激烈,钢材销售低迷,买家对废钢的需求相当疲软,市场形势也不乐观。原产于美国的集装箱装运HMS 1&2 80:20废钢报价在360-365美元/吨cfr台湾左右,台湾买家在周一似乎无法接受。

On the West Coast, the market situation is no brighter as buyers’ demand for scrap is quite weak amid the slump in the Chinese market, competitive Japanese offers and low steel sales. US-origin containerised HMS 1&2 80:20 offers at around $360-365/t cfr Taiwan do not seem acceptable for Taiwanese buyers on Monday.

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